Market Monitor – 7 October 2022
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Market Monitor – 7 October 2022

Global stock markets clawed back some of their recent losses this week, on hopes that central banks may not need to raise rates as quickly as previously feared. Investors around the world seized on the latest signs of economic weakness as an indication that the pace of monetary policy tightening may have to be slowed in order to avoid a damaging, long-lasting downturn.

Yields on United States government bonds fell back early in the week, reflecting traders’ view that the Federal Reserve now has to balance support for a faltering economy with its efforts to bring inflation under control. New data showing a deceleration of growth across US factories and a slump in new job openings suggest that higher interest rates may already be proving effective in dampening demand. However, voting officials at the Fed keep re-enforcing their hawkish message and ruling out any reduction in the pace of hikes or potential 2023 cuts, stressing that controlling inflation is their number one priority.

There are, however, other headwinds for share prices: OPEC’s decision on Wednesday to make sharp cuts in oil production levels to help to drive crude prices higher is likely to add to inflationary pressures around the world in the weeks ahead. President Biden, however, countered with plans to release additional oil from American reserves next month.

US markets

After a calamitous September, the final quarter of 2022 began brightly on Wall Street. The Dow Jones Industrial Average ended trading on Thursday 4.2% up for the week so far, while the S&P 500 gained 4.4%. Both indexes, however, remain well off the levels reached in August and it is possible that an element of bargain-hunting helped sustain the rises earlier this week.

Europe

In the UK, the FTSE 100 closed on Thursday 1.5% up for the week, with shares in London lagging their peers in Europe and the US. In part this has been due to a slight rise in the value of sterling against the dollar, as the pound recovers from the slump that followed chancellor Kwasi Kwarteng’s mini-budget last month. But investors in the UK are concerned about another ratings-agency downgrade on sovereign debt, as well as a potential crisis in the mortgage market. Rates on two-year fixed-rate loans have risen from little over 2% at the end of 2021 to more than 6% this week, compounding the pressures on household budgets.

In Frankfurt, the DAX index ended Thursday’s session up 2.9% for the week, while France’s CAC 40 gained 3%. Manufacturing performance across the eurozone continues to disappoint, but there are signs that inflation across the region may be close to its peak.

Asia

In Asia, the Hang Seng index in Hong Kong rose 4.6%, bringing its recent slump to a halt. Gains were largely attributable to strength in western markets, with mainland Chinese stock exchanges closed for the Golden Week holiday. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index of leading shares leapt 5.3% following gains in the US. Tokyo-listed energy companies benefited from news of OPEC’s production cut, but latest figures showed inflation in Japan had risen at the fastest rate in eight years.

30 September
6 October
Change (%)
FTSE 100
6893.8
6997.3
1.5
FTSE All-share
3763.5
3826.4
1.7
S&P 500
3585.6
3744.5
4.4
Dow Jones
28725.5
29926.9
4.2
DAX
12114.4
12470.8
2.9
CAC 40
5762.3
5936.4
3.0
ACWI
553.4
576.5
4.2
Hong Kong Hang Seng
17222.8
18012.2
4.6
Nikkei 225
25937.2
27311.3
5.3

Note: all market data contained within the article is sourced from Bloomberg unless stated otherwise, data as at 6 October 2022.

7 October 2022
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Market Monitor – 7 October 2022

Important information

For marketing purposes.

This document is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered representative of any particular investment. This should not be considered an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments, or to provide investment advice or services. Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. Your capital is at risk.  Market risk may affect a single issuer, sector of the economy, industry or the market as a whole. The value of investments is not guaranteed, and therefore an investor may not get back the amount invested. International investing involves certain risks and volatility due to potential political, economic or currency fluctuations and different financial and accounting standards. The securities included herein are for illustrative purposes only, subject to change and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell. Securities discussed may or may not prove profitable. The views expressed are as of the date given, may change as market or other conditions change and may differ from views expressed by other Columbia Threadneedle Investments (Columbia Threadneedle) associates or affiliates. Actual investments or investment decisions made by Columbia Threadneedle and its affiliates, whether for its own account or on behalf of clients, may not necessarily reflect the views expressed. This information is not intended to provide investment advice and does not take into consideration individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor’s specific financial needs, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Asset classes described may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and no forecast should be considered a guarantee either. Information and opinions provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This document and its contents have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority.

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In Singapore: Issued by Threadneedle Investments Singapore (Pte.) Limited, 3 Killiney Road, #07-07, Winsland House 1, Singapore 239519, which is regulated in Singapore by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289). Registration number: 201101559W. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

In Hong Kong: Issued by Threadneedle Portfolio Services Hong Kong Limited 天利投資管理香港有限公司. Unit 3004, Two Exchange Square, 8 Connaught Place, Hong Kong, which is licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) to conduct Type 1 regulated activities (CE:AQA779). Registered in Hong Kong under the Companies Ordinance (Chapter 622), No. 1173058.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies.

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Important information

For marketing purposes.

This document is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered representative of any particular investment. This should not be considered an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments, or to provide investment advice or services. Investing involves risk including the risk of loss of principal. Your capital is at risk.  Market risk may affect a single issuer, sector of the economy, industry or the market as a whole. The value of investments is not guaranteed, and therefore an investor may not get back the amount invested. International investing involves certain risks and volatility due to potential political, economic or currency fluctuations and different financial and accounting standards. The securities included herein are for illustrative purposes only, subject to change and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell. Securities discussed may or may not prove profitable. The views expressed are as of the date given, may change as market or other conditions change and may differ from views expressed by other Columbia Threadneedle Investments (Columbia Threadneedle) associates or affiliates. Actual investments or investment decisions made by Columbia Threadneedle and its affiliates, whether for its own account or on behalf of clients, may not necessarily reflect the views expressed. This information is not intended to provide investment advice and does not take into consideration individual investor circumstances. Investment decisions should always be made based on an investor’s specific financial needs, objectives, goals, time horizon and risk tolerance. Asset classes described may not be suitable for all investors. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and no forecast should be considered a guarantee either. Information and opinions provided by third parties have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but accuracy and completeness cannot be guaranteed. This document and its contents have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority.

In the UK: issued by Threadneedle Asset Management Limited, registered in England and Wales, No. 573204. Registered Office: Cannon Place, 78 Cannon Street, London EC4N 6AG. Authorised and regulated in the UK by the Financial Conduct Authority.

In Australia: Issued by Threadneedle Investments Singapore (Pte.) Limited [“TIS”], ARBN 600 027 414. TIS is exempt from the requirement to hold an Australian financial services licence under the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) and relies on Class Order 03/1102 in respect of the financial services it provides to wholesale clients in Australia. This document should only be distributed in Australia to “wholesale clients” as defined in Section 761G of the Corporations Act. TIS is regulated in Singapore (Registration number: 201101559W) by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289), which differ from Australian laws.

In Singapore: Issued by Threadneedle Investments Singapore (Pte.) Limited, 3 Killiney Road, #07-07, Winsland House 1, Singapore 239519, which is regulated in Singapore by the Monetary Authority of Singapore under the Securities and Futures Act (Chapter 289). Registration number: 201101559W. This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.

In Hong Kong: Issued by Threadneedle Portfolio Services Hong Kong Limited 天利投資管理香港有限公司. Unit 3004, Two Exchange Square, 8 Connaught Place, Hong Kong, which is licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission (“SFC”) to conduct Type 1 regulated activities (CE:AQA779). Registered in Hong Kong under the Companies Ordinance (Chapter 622), No. 1173058.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments is the global brand name of the Columbia and Threadneedle group of companies.

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